But what the model really likes is the rotation. It should be a fourth consecutive last-place season for the Pirates, who hope Ke'Bryan Hayes bounces back and prospectOneil Cruz brings some excitement. There has been a lot going on in the AL West since the 2021 season came to an end, and the model expects the standings to turn out about as one might expect. The defense is terrible. The Rays have won the division two years in a rowbut didn't do much to upgrade,and have a lot riding on Wander Franco (and his new 11-year, $182 million contract)taking a significant step forward Yankees fans may have hated the offseason, but the team didn't get significantly worse over the winter. The model indicates that in a World Series against the NL, which is loaded with teams that boast top-line pitching staffs, Tampa Bay's staff is more likely to hold up in a series. Milwaukee had a relatively quiet offseason after finishing seven games behind St. Louis last season, but PECOTA projects the team's vaunted pitching staff to allow . MORE:Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat. Carlos Rodon is gone, but Michael Kopech is waiting in the wings to take over as the No. The bullpen is, well, the Phillies bullpen. They added Cy Young winner Robbie Ray and 2021 All-Stars in Adam Frazier and Jesse Winker Nobody really knows what to make of theAngels. Everyone needs to get their two cents in and, why not? The East looks like a potential power in the National League, as well as the American League. MLB OFFSEASON GRADES:Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse. The Cubsare engaging in a rebuild/reload to try and keep the team competition, while also building up its young core again. Tip from Dean E. Smith Center is at 6:30 p.m. Seattle strengthened its young core of Jarred Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez by trading for Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez from Cincinnati and signing reigning Cy Young winner Robbie Ray. In fact, they lost their top free agent, shortstop Dansby Swanson, to the Cubs. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Below, we look at those 2022 World Series odds; be sure to check back for our MLB picks and predictions as the season ramps up. USA TODAY. 3. They have the best hitter of this generation in Mike Trout and the most talented player of all time in Shohei Ohtani, yet they continue to finish below .500. The 2020 World Series champions have +600 odds to lift the Commissioner's Trophy in 2022, while the Pirates, Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks are tied for the lowest at +25000. We know there are moving parts and differences every single season and the Blue Jays have to replace the career year from Marcus Semien. Even after Gausman walked in free agency, San Francisco still returns Logan Webb, who is coming off a fantastic postseason, and bring back Anthony DeSclafani and Alex Wood. 2023 Season; 2022 Season; 2021 Season; 2020 Season; 2019 Season; 2018 Season; CFB FBS. The Minnesota Twins are an interesting case. Washington Nationals (88-74) The NL East is loaded, but any team anchored by Max Scherzer and Juan Soto can't be overlooked. But after an offseason spent filling out their roster with solid role players, ZiPS and PECOTA both think they have a good chance to break their ignominious drought in 2023. Jesse Yomtov. Bellinger is coming off of a dreadful 2021 campaign that saw . The reason for the model's lack of trust in them in 2022? First off, the Dodgers are the best team. There are six divisions in the MLB, divided into three . The team will also get another look at breakout star Jazz Chisholm in his second year of action. 0:00. Are the Blue Jays even with the Yankees, or way behind? It might not matter right now, but it will cost them multiple games and potentially a playoff spot. The results of each simulation are tallied together to create the most likely outcomes of the divisions, playoffs and World Series. I'm more a fan of being right and this one was just pulling me in. 2. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Even more surprising, potentially letting Freddie Freeman walk in free agency. Across the division, the Twins had a perplexing winter. Projection rollouts have become a time-honored tradition in the lead up to every baseball season, and FanGraphs writer Dan Szymborskis ZiPS and Baseball Prospectus' PECOTA are two of the most trusted projection systems around. As for the Rockies and Diamondbacks, there isnt much to say. Torontos moves this offseason inspire confidence Canada might host a World Series game. Wed also feel comfortable projecting a Willson Contreras trade in our MLB predictions, coming in July. 15 seasons. The return of spring weather brings hope for every team. We like the Zack Greinke return and have optimism for the Royals future, but 2022 wont be great. The reason the model likes the Cardinals over Milwaukee comes from the lack of trust in the Brewers' lineup, but if Willy Adames can repeat and Christian Yelich can bounce back somewhere closer to his 2019 levels, it could have just enough to support Milwaukee's tremendous pitching staff. The 2022 Major League Baseball season is nearly upon us. I don't buy the Padres or Giants as 90-plus win teams, either. It will all come down to how many IL stints the Angels stars have in 2022. Fastest MLB pitches in 2022, fastest pitch in college, Best batting average of all time: Top MLB hitters by career average, best BA in 2021. They'll hover around .500 without the season-altering winning streak this time around. The Rockies don't figure to be in the mix for the playoffs in 2022, but that lineup could be fun to watch. March 4, 2023 7:30 am EDT. Marcus Semien might have left in free agency, but Toronto acquired Matt Chapman to man third and give the team a star defender to the left of Bichette. Customized picks for NFL and college football pickem contests (weekly and season long). The Blue Jays will, once again, be one of the best fourth-place finishers since MLB went to the six-division format in 1994. The injury to Jacob deGrom is a major blow to the Mets' chances of winning the division, but if he's healthy once he comes back from his shoulder injury, New York would look like one of the best teams in the NL. The loss of Gray takes away one arm that found success pitching in Colorado, but German Marquez and Antonio Senzatela continued to prove last season that they've figured it out. Philadelphia Phillies (82-80) The bullpen (7.06 ERA in '20) won . Thats two huge additions, creating a lineup that should be among the NL leaders in home runs and RBI. Derek Jeter left the Miami Marlins for a reason, he doesnt believe this team is all-in on winnings. The Philadelphia Phillies committed to spending money this offseason, improving the lineup with Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos. Pittsburgh is waiting for the Mitch Keller breakout to happen this spring, he's shown glimpses that it could be on the way as the rotation starts to weave in younger arms like Bryse Wilson and Roansy Contreras. Opening Day is set for Thursday (for 14 teams, at least), and thankfully for baseball fans, we'll still have a full, 162-game season in 2022. The Padres are absolutely a fringe playoff contender in the NL, but I'm not seeing them on the cusp of 90 wins. Printed from TeamRankings.com - 2005-2023 Team Rankings, LLC. 103 / 103+59 OR 103 / 162 = .636 OR 63.6%. MORE:Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman. There are two MVP candidates in the lineup and the Trevor Story signing creates one of the best infield in MLB. Considering the Cincinnati Reds are shopping their starting pitchers and trimming payroll, they belong in the ignore tier for the 2022 season. With the money saved by choosing Olson over Freddie Freeman, Atlanta signed Kenley Jansen and Collin McHugh. Christian Yelich can only get better after . Last year, Casey Mize, Matt Manning and Tarik Skubal got a taste of the big leagues and showed promise, and will be expected to take it a step farther in 2022. All rights reserved. How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Theyll be better than the Pittsburgh Pirates, but at least we can say we like the outlook for Pittsburghs future. The Guardiansfeel like the biggest surprise in the division. For anyone followingthe Reds, this has been a puzzling offseason. Ronald Acuna Jr. will be back before too long and joins a lineup that still features Ozzie Albies, Austin Riley, Dansby Swanson and Eddie Rosario. A lineup that already featured the reigning MVP in Bryce Harper added the dynamic bat of Nick Castellanos and left-handed slugger Kyle Schwarber. The problem is so often health, and that is the concern the model has for the Angels. Bringing in Avisail Garcia and Jorge Soler adds some thump to the outfield in an outfield that has been inconsistent in recent years. With that said, adding Chris Archer is a nice low-risk, high-reward move that should add more stability to Minnesotas pitching staff. The NL Central has not had a team repeat as division winner since the Cubs repeated in first place in 2016 and 2017. The rotation looks well-rounded with three experienced starters at the top in Marcus Stroman, Kyle Hendricks and Wade Miley. Sure, Opening Day was pushed back a week, but the MLB season is set to play a full 162 games, which was not a given earlier this winter. The NL West was incredibly loaded in 2021, with the Giants finishing with the best record in baseball and the Dodgers owning the second-best record in baseball. But there they are with an 88-74 projection from ZiPS, just three games behind the mighty Dodgers and Padres. But that quickly changed, and the result was a disappointing 77-85 season. The model works by using past player data to project how they will perform in 2022. Mookie Betts felt quiet in 2021, but he's still one of baseball's best at the dish. FanGraphs Membership. The Mariners may have somethingto say about that, though, making some big moves in hopes of ending baseball's longest postseason drought dating back to 2001. 1. Just looking around the NL West, there are two bad teams. ET. The AL East is the best division in baseball, and it doesn't take a model to know that. I don't think they are bottom-feeder level (Orioles, Pirates, Diamondbacks), though. With the new campaign comes the intrigue over how it will turn out. The results, Marcus Stroman being replaced by Max Scherzer and holes in the lineup being filled by Starling Marte, Mark Canha and Eduardo Escobar. Are we really counting on Miles Mikolas and Dakota Hudson, then? 2022, 2021, 2022 MLB Pitching, 2022 MLB Batting, 2022 MLB Standings, 2022 MLB Attendance, 2022 MLB Rookies , . The Detroit Tigers farm system leads us to believe they are a future World Series contender, but the big leap isnt coming until 2023. New York received good news with the restrictions on unvaccinated players being lifted. Instead, their big additions were Mitch Haniger, Michael Conforto, Sean Manaea, Ross Stripling and Taylor Rogers. Even after trading Gray, the rotation looks decent with Luis Castillo and Tyler Mahle leading a young rotation that will feature flame-thrower Hunter Greene and control specialist Nick Lodolo. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The amount of money the Mets have dished out is absurd. The tip-off is set for 7:30 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse. ET (ESPN). Ultimately, this is a total rebuild and the organization isn't thinking about the final MLB standings in 2022. AL EAST. It's a win-win, really. Compared to the Brewers and Cardinals, the Cubs dont stack up and thats even after signing outfielder Seiya Suzuki. The rest of the AL Central is largely thinking about the future. The Yankees, Red Sox and Rays are all strong playoff contenders, for me. The model doesn't think the signings make Texas a full-fledged contender just yet, but it sees this as a major step in the right direction. Those player stats are then merged in with their current teams to evaluate how good each team's lineups, rotation and bullpens will be in the 2022 season. But more than anything, the model is high on the pitching, with Gerrit Cole, Jameson Taillon, Jordan Montgomery and a healthy Luis Severino leading the team in 2022. Team: Wins: Losses: Chicago White Sox: 85: 77: After winning 99 games in 2022, the Yankees were able to re-sign Aaron Judge and Anthony Rizzo in free agency, and they inked All-Star lefty Carlos Rodnto a six-year contract. Vlad Guerrero Jr. ties Joe DiMaggio for the 2nd-most HR . Eric Lauer and Adrian Houser help round out a rotation that has a case for the MLB's best, in front of a bullpen that has some star power with Josh Hader and Devin Williams. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. The Post's Joel Sherman predicts the AL Central: 1. The bullpen lost Jansen, but added Craig Kimbrel to go along with Blake Treinen and Brusdar Graterol. If that happens, Tampa Bay is in business. The bullpen, which was already one of the best last year, improved with the signing of Kenley Jansen to join Will Smith, Tyler Matzek and AJ Minter. ZiPS projects the White Sox for 74 wins, closer to the Tigers (71) and Royals (70) than the Guardians (83) and Twins (80). From the starting rotation to the lineup, Los Angeles holds the advantages and its farm system is better. Meanwhile, ZiPS not only projects the Cards to win a second straight NL Central title but also gives St. Louis the largest margin of victory (seven games) of any of the projected division champions. College Basketball Week 17 Top 25 Predictions Note: Projected winners are listed in bold. Its not a huge surprise that ZiPS projects the Padres and Dodgers for the same record. However, this is still a loaded team. The rotation might be even better in 2022 with the return of Mike Soroka to join Max Fried, Ian Anderson, Charlie Morton and Huascar Ynoa. Is it as simple as looking at their negative-51 run differential, which carried with it and expected 76-86 record? With the exception of a 107-win season from the Giants in 2021, the Dodgers have owned the NL West for the past decade. MLB games today with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Acquiring Sonny Gray improves the rotation, but it could still use a front-line starter. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. NL Playoffs: Wild-Card Series A: Mets over Brewers Get the most up to date picture of the 2022 MLB season standings. We also like the move to acquire both Jesse Winker and Eugenio Suarez. and that rotation is littered with question marks after Joe Musgrove. MLB 2022 win totals: Predicting every team's record for the new season. Like the Tigers,the Royals are loaded with MLB-ready talent from Bobby Witt Jr., MJ Melendez and Nick Pratto all expected to reach the big leagues at some point during the season to add to an offense that already includes Salvador Perez, Nicky Lopez and Whit Merrifield. The Mariners, as currently constructed, are going to be a better, more well-rounded baseball team in 2022 than they were in 2021. Texans spent heavily on Corey Seager and Marcus Semien, adding two All-Star hitters to the lineup. Disappointment in 2021 compelled the New York Mets to spend even more money this offseason. However, concerns at catcher and in the outfield put SF a tier below the Dodgers. Rather astounding. They've lost key names over the past several years from George Springer to Justin Verlander (for a season due to injury) and now, most recently, Correa. And yet, they won 90 games last season and I'm going under 84.5 this year. Detroit is also expecting rookies Spencer Torkelson and Riley Greene to make the jump to the majors and provide the offense with the jolt it lacked in 2021. By no means do I think the Rockies are good, nor will they come close to playoff contention. Related: 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, Related: MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July. Arizona is avoiding a total rebuild and the Ketel Marte extensions signals he wont be moved. There is some volatility in our projections for theBraves, who look like the favorite to win the NL East but finish as low as third place in the division standings. Let's dig in on the "best team" part, though. Wander Franco, Shane Baz and Shane McClanahan are expected to take up major roles on the team in their second seasons with the club, and Randy Arozarena and Brandon Lowe will again be dangerous at the plate. And while the Rays have been able to work around stuff like this the last several years, I don't believe they have the same combination of depth and talent in the bullpen to absorb the starter workload shortfall. The influx of multiple 100-win teams per season these last handful of years isn't a coincidence, in my view. Plus, in the NL West, the Dodgers are awesome and the Giants are coming off a 107-win season. . Here's what experts think. I'm going to, once again, hammer the over on the highest total. Landing Carlos Correa is a monumental upgrade at shortstop, improving this teams fielding and run production. Despite signing Trea Turnerin free agency, neither ZiPS nor PECOTA views the Phils as a major threat to win this division. Standings. TheBrewers Way? It bucks conventional wisdom, sure, but there are a few factors I can't ignore. The Orioleshope to see top prospect Adley Rutschman soon (but not too soon) and are going to lose 100 games again but have players worth watching inCedric Mullins andRyan Mountcastle. By Dom Luszczyszyn. The model really likes the rotation with Steven Matz joining Adam Wainwright and Jack Flaherty, who could miss some time with a shoulder injury. Should-be ace Jack Flaherty has a shoulder injury. The model expects some regression, but the pitching will keep this as one of the best teams in baseball. Cody Bellinger returns to All-Star form. TeamRankings.com is solely responsible for this site but makes no guarantee about the accuracy or completeness of the information herein. The predicted standings for each team are the average wins and losses in the 20,000 simulations. Bo Bichette is talented enough to take another step forward and join Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. as an MVP contender. Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off It isn't that simple, even if it sounds like it should be. Atlanta can erase some of our concerns by acquiring Matt Olson. It has been a discouraging offseason forAthletics'fans, who watched their two core Matts traded off to the Blue Jays (Chapman) and Braves (Olson), and standout arms Sean Manaea and Chris Bassitt traded to the Padres and Mets, respectively. With Seattle, Los Angeles, and Texas each loading up on talent this offseason, will the Carlos Correa-less Astros . Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. MLB predictions 2022: Final standings, playoff projections, World Series odds for every team, Trading for Matt Chapman a better fit for rising Blue Jays than signing Freddie Freeman, Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues, Dodgers, Mets earn high marks; Yankees confuse, Seiya Suzuki has won over Cubs' clubhouse; next impression will come with bat, Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. They didn't re-sign Miley and traded away franchise icons Winker and Suarez in a salary dump before signing Tommy Pham, Donovan Solano, Colin Moran and trading for Mike Minor. "Ok . The NL Central hasn't had a repeat champion since the Cubs in 2016-17, and PECOTA expects that trend to continue in 2023, giving the Brewers a two-game edge over the Cardinals. But much of the rest of the lineup is unproven. 2023 Projected Standings. Sign up to receive our daily Morning Lineup to stay in the know about the latest trending topics around Major League Baseball. As for the Royals, 2022 is centered Bobby Witt Jr. and MJ Melendez. MLB predictions for the AL East are the most fun, theyll even vary on a weekly basis. The increase in the number of teams losing on purpose has left a lot more wins for the good teams to grab. MLB insider Bob Nightengale examines if the fans will forgive league for ugly offseason. Sticky standings Sticky standings. New York Mets - 94-68 (101-61 in 2022, 2nd in NLE) It's tough to predict a regression for the Mets, but we truly believe their 2023 campaign will be a bit less successful than their 2022 campaign. See how your team stacks up against the rest of Major League Baseball with league, division, and playoff standings. Follow the American League and National League races here from USA TODAY. Nick Madrigal and Nico Hoerner are a promising young middle-infield combo, who should be big parts of the team's future. Back # WL Div GB # AL WL Pct GB # WL Div GB # Behind the Jays, it could go either way between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays. Major League Baseball's arduous 2021-22offseason featured a 99-day lockout that ultimately resulted in an abbreviated spring training and a delayed Opening Day. They lost Rodn, Evan Longoria and Brandon Belt. MORE:Reds, As top list of five MLB fan bases experiencing post-lockout blues. This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2022 MLB season. Key player: Luis Robert. They also made big splashes by signing Rodon, Alex Cobb and Matthew Boyd, who will only make this rotation stronger. The slugging corner infielders of Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado make up a powerful middle-of-the-order tandem, and Tommy Edman should help at the top of the lineup. It's hard to see that changing in 2022 with a new crop of players in the AL Central. Unfortunately, the Jacob deGrom injury is a massive blow. Instead, they missed the playoffs. With just days to go until Opening Day, hope is high among all teams that this will be their year to win a World Series or at least have an enjoyable 162-game season. Even over 162 games, surprises abound. Let's take a look at each game with odds from DraftKings . Major League Leaders . [ MORE: How to watch Premier League in USA] After the break for the 2022 World Cup, the Premier League . Justin Verlander is back and were expecting healthy seasons out of Kyle Tucker, Yordan Alvarez and Alex Bregman. However, pitching is a major concern. The speedy outfield of Tyler O'Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson returns as the best defensive unit in baseball, and they're each expected to improve offensively. That doesn't mean anyone should sleep on New York. Updated: Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:51 PM ET, Park Factors However, the Mets will still be in a prime position to compete and will likely make a big splash in the 2023 postseason. Our 2022 MLB predictions panel. Instead, the club went 81-81 and missed the postseason, finishing 11 games behind the upstart Guardians. (As a reminder, Emmanuel Clase did it in 2022 . The introduction of the DH to the NL should help Dominic Smith and Robinson Cano produce at a higher rate as well. Notably, ZiPS and PECOTA both project the Angels to be significantly better than the Rangers, whose moves have been much splashier than the Halos in the past two offseasons. FIVE BIG QUESTIONS:AL East | AL Central | AL WestNL East | NL Central | NL West. They'll have thump. With the last few days of build up comes all kinds of predictions, picks, best bets and the like. The only six teams with greater than a 5 percent chance of reaching the World Series are the four leaders in the AL East and the White Sox and Astros. In this space below, we'll grab some totals picks. The rotation has the biggest question marks, but the signing of Zack Greinke to go along with Brady Singer, Brad Keller and Carlos Hernandez should be able to give the team quality innings. As for the Cubs, neither system likes their postseason chances despite the signings of Swanson, Cody Bellinger, Jameson Taillon, Trey Mancini and Eric Hosmer. They've got that again in 2022. As far as my place in all this, feel free to jump over to my SportsLine page to see my picking acumen from last season. October 6th, 2022. 3 (Freddy Peralta) and a potential Rookie of the year candidate (Aaron Ashby). Chicago averaged nearly five runs a game with injuries limiting . MLB playoffs 2023: MLB postseason predictions, World Series and playoffs info, Longest MLB hitting streaks ever: 2022 to baseball history, 5 biggest winners from 2022 MLB offseason, MLB top prospects 2022: Tracking latest stats and potential call-up dates, 3 Chicago White Sox trade targets to replace Lance Lynn, 2022 Boston Red Sox schedule, roster and predictions, MLB MVP race 2023: Evaluating 2023 AL, NL candidates and MVP history, MLB trade rumors Latest MLB rumors entering July, What is the fastest pitch ever? All Rights Reserved. We also like Clevelands pitching. Watch out, Milwaukee is a darkhorse World Series threat. This article lays out all of our preseason MLB team ratings and projections for 2022, including our MLB projected standings, MLB postseason seed projections and various projection details such as final win-loss records, playoff chances, and World Series win odds. Jesus Luzardo wasn't sharp in his Miami debut, but he's shown off his electric skillset and sky-high potential in Spring Training and will likely be a popular breakout pick. Are the Brewers better than the Cardinals, or way behind? The rotation will get a boost from the return of Mike Clevinger and the trade acquisition of Manaea. MORE:Cody Bellinger is struggling again, but Dodgers are so good that it might not matter. Only enabled for screen sizes > 1024px. We should also mention the Phillies, who went further than both the Mets and Braves in the 2022 postseason before losing to the Astros in the World Series.
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