A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Post your query OR Review in below comment box. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Part of HuffPost Wellness. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Think of yourself as dead. Whoa. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Step 3. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . But on all probability it would. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. A lovely day to you. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Or stalk me (with love.). On one try. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Even if they couldn't read them yet. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. Step 2. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Part of HuffPost Wellness. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. The chances that they would then get knocked up? They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Step 2. Step 1. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Do you know the odds of being alive? And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? A donut with no hole, is a Danish. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Step 4. Then the probability of Mr. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." But let's think about this some more. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Probability is a pure odd. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Onward to freedom! In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. You may think You say that to everyone!. Maybe that one would have been better. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. On one try. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. Your email address will not be published. Thats a pretty good trip. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Scripture says. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Based on the data from the CDC . This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. So whats the probability of your existing? You can consider using our babies name resource to choose baby at 12 weeks old that suits your needs! One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. What are the odds of that? Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Is that an African fly or a European one? Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. You can start the series by clicking HERE. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate.
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